lab reports · orreryAbstractIIIIIIIVV

treadcore · check-in report CI-032

The Kite's Hold in a Duel

Check-in report CI-032. Paul Richeson, treadcore.org; Claude Code (Claude Opus 5.5) as the pair. 21 October 2026. Companion records: journal 0089; LAB-REPORT-BRAIN.md section 66; CI-031; roadmap backlog 55.

Source: documentation/checkins/CI-032-2026-10-21-the-kites-hold-in-a-duel.md, built by orrery's tools/report/collect.py.

Abstract

Backlog 55. The kite spends 62% of its time holding past the target's reach (LR 65); the hypothesis was that a shorter wait scores more. The meter, split by whom, puts 92% of the kite's seconds in rallies. A scenario's Commander could not rally, so scenarios gained pings = true and an outscores expectation. In a new family, a duel in the open over 400 seeds, a Commander that rallies on a RuleBot outscores it in 63.0% of seeds with the kite and 51.5% without. Twelve settings of kite_spare, kite_in and kite_margin read within about an error of the default, except kite_in 10, which is worse. The hypothesis is not supported; the defaults stand; the family holds a floor of 0.55. All six commits before this one were pushed at Paul's word.

Index terms: kite, rally, duel, scenario families, tuning.

I. Introduction

A. Intent

To score the kite's hold where it can be scored, a duel, and move its numbers if the duel says so; and to push the work and show Paul the autopilot.

B. The prompt

nice . continue. commit. push. and let me see it run when you are ready to show me auto pilot

II. Decision Log

#CauseDecisionNot taken, and why
D1The prompt: "push"The six local commits pushed first (347b087..0c7e72f)—
D2F: a scenario Commander on Auto fortified and was shelled; it never kitedFind which kite the census countsBuilding the duel blind
D3The kite runs in three placesThe meter split by whom (kite_kinds); three seeds: rally 1,092, wing 68, intruder 27A 12-seed read: three seeds answered at 92%
D4F: a scenario's Commander has pings and answers_pings offA pings = true key, as fleet.rs deals a leaderMaking scenarios deal fleet roles: a larger change than the key
D5F: hits "by None" were a neutral pillboxpillboxes = false, depots = false, grass, drones recalled—
D6A duel is won or lostoutscores: hits given more than takenKills: a minute often ends without one
D7F: 63.0% on, 51.5% off; the numbers flatThe defaults kept; floor 0.55kite_margin 1 (65.0%): within an error
D8F: every tuning lead of LR 63 now readGoal 4's tuning closed at every part on—

III. Methods

Code. meter.rs: kite(act) takes the act; kite_kinds by group (intruder, wingman, rally); the census line "seconds kiting by whom". scenario.rs: a Commander's pings = true sets pings and answers_pings; outscores = { by, on } holds when hits by by on on outnumber those back.

By whom. build/lr66/run.sh: the fair census as LR 65, seeds 0 to 2, one seed a job.

Family and sweep. scenarios/families/a-duel-in-the-open.toml (section 66). make scenario S=... RUNS=400 SET="w=v" for the defaults, kite 0, kite_spare 0, 0.2, 0.8, 1.2, kite_in 7, 8, 10, 11, kite_margin 0.5, 1, 2.5, 3.5.

IV. Results

MeasureResult
Kiting by whom, 3 seedsrally 1,092, wingman 68, intruder 27
The duel, defaults63.0% +/- 2.4%
The duel, kite off51.5% +/- 2.5%
The best settingkite_margin 1, 65.0% (within an error)
The worst settingkite_in 10, 57.2%

Tests: brain 84 passed and 11 ignored; client 32; net 14; proto 3; sim

  1. Eight families, each above its floor.

V. Discussion

  1. The hold is the win. Holding past the target's reach until its gun reloads is how a duel is won; shortening the wait does not help.
  2. The census lean is not the duel's. If the -0.94 at 48 seeds is real, it is in the team's fight, not in the kite's numbers.
  3. Tuning closed. Every lead of the parts table is read; the brain with every part on is the starting numbers.

For Paul: none blocking. This commit is pushed with the rest; the autopilot is shown next.